- Joined
- Dec 8, 2017
- Messages
- 10,044
No, it has been a war for twenty years.
The Ukrainians probably don't think so. I hope Russia becomes an isolated, impotent nation after this. Like North Korea, except physically a little larger. They are well on their way, with China and India starting to back away from them, at least a little bit.I still think this is all posturing and a show.
Correct.I am in no way discounting the potential for Biden and the west from miscalculation and mismanaging the situations in Ukraine, but the long term threat to the west is China. And we are mismanaging this far more worse than how we screwing up in the Ukrainian conflict.
https://americanmind.org/features/florida-versus-davos/five-myths-about-china/
I woke up to this fact over 20 years ago. That is part of the reason that I buy almost nothing from China. I buy American whenever possible. Yes, sometimes I pay more but I keep the money in the country, I keep industry in the country, and I'm not financing a country that has expressed a desire to destroy me. The list goes on.If things get snotty between U.S. and China give how stupidly and massively, we are dependent on China for cheap goods. We could see an "INSTANT" bump to 30% or 45% inflation. If they either jack prices or flat out refuse to sell to America.
I'd swallow that pill.if nothing else to see these lazy idiots wake up!If things get snotty between U.S. and China give how stupidly and massively, we are dependent on China for cheap goods. We could see an "INSTANT" bump to 30% or 45% inflation. If they either jack prices or flat out refuse to sell to America.
If things get snotty between U.S. and China give how stupidly and massively, we are dependent on China for cheap goods. We could see an "INSTANT" bump to 30% or 45% inflation. If they either jack prices or flat out refuse to sell to America.
Here is a graphic about year on year trends and a good list of what the US bought from China last year. Note that despite the pandemic and logistical disruptions, the trend is very much towards greater dependency.....
It is also worth noting that the proportion of China's total trade that goes to the US is only 17%. They have now diversified their exports, so that they are not even very dependent upon the US anymore. Look through the list - it is hard to imagine how the US could establish alternate supply for all those things in any reasonable amount of time.
https://tradingeconomics.com/china/exports/united-states
I assess that the offshoring trend was >90% about simple economics - labor in China costs/costed a tiny fraction of what labor costs in the US.........
Hard calibers I agree with your assessment about China. IMO pushing China to become a major economic power was fully intentional many years ago. There is NO WAY the US would have willingly transferred a major portion of their manufacturing base to a communist country otherwise. Certainly not a lot of the production of major military hardware, components, even IC chips, and raw materials. That was about the only way to start weakening the US to the point we will have a hard time fighting a major drawn out war, such as what it would be to go up against China. With their numbers they could bleed us dry and we will run out of materials before long. It'd take 2-5 years to built our industries up to support a war of that type. On top of that where is the skilled labor going to come from to build and maintain that industry. As it is right now, we have a hard time finding instrument technicians. There just isn't much of a pipeline for people to learn at.
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